Expected fantasy points for every driver and constructor, built from real data — not gut feel.
F1 Grid IQ's predictions combine public betting markets — which already price in a huge amount of information about form, car pace and how a circuit suits a given driver — with F1's own published data: practice pace, qualifying results, grid penalties. The result is an expected fantasy points figure for every driver and constructor, updated as the race weekend unfolds.
A single predicted finishing order throws away real uncertainty — DNF risk, safety cars, pit strategy calls that don't go to plan. F1 Grid IQ's simulations model a range of realistic outcomes for each driver rather than one guess, so the projection reflects genuine risk: a driver with high DNF risk and high upside is treated differently from a steady midfield points-scorer, even when their headline "expected" number looks similar.
A projection is only useful if you can check it. F1 Grid IQ publishes its own Track Record inside the app — real accuracy numbers, round by round, against actual results, including the races the model got wrong. Nothing here is a guarantee: race results depend on things no model can fully see coming, and a projection should inform your team, not replace your own judgment. See also our F1 Fantasy model accuracy & results page, comparing F1 Grid IQ's graded performance against other F1 Fantasy tools race by race, or how the established F1 Fantasy tools compare overall.
Projections feed directly into the optimizer and the driver and constructor rankings — the same numbers, used consistently everywhere on the site rather than a separate model for each page.
Looking back rather than ahead: our hindsight analyses of 2026 show what the best season strategy would have looked like and what an extra $1M of budget was worth. They are worked out after the races, with every real result known, so they are not predictions.
Every graded race is published on the model accuracy page, with the method written out and the races we lost left in. No model is right every week, so treat a projection as an input to your decision, not a guarantee.
Simulations are re-run after practice and qualifying (FP1 and Sprint Qualifying on a sprint weekend) once real session data and grid penalties are known. The race page for each Grand Prix shows its latest update time.
Public betting-market odds (win, podium, points finish and qualifying prices) combined with F1's own published data, run through probabilistic simulations. We use the markets as a source of information about pace and risk. This is not a betting service and nothing here is betting advice.
Yes, the race prediction pages and the accuracy record are free to read. The optimizer that turns projections into your own budget-fitted squad is part of F1 Grid IQ Premium ($5/month or $35/year).
The race-by-race list above links every 2026 Grand Prix page; the newest one is the next race. Its predictions appear there once that weekend's first simulation is published. See the F1 Fantasy optimizer for how the projections become a team.
Projections for every driver and constructor, every race, are part of F1 Grid IQ Premium: $5/month or $35/year, cancel anytime.
See plans →See also the F1 Fantasy optimizer, driver & constructor rankings, 2026 season strategy analysis, how we compare with F1 Fantasy Tools, our FAQ, and press & mentions.